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PostWysłany: Pon 9:54, 15 Lis 2010    Temat postu: excellent Overvalued MLB Stars in Big Names Bigg

He's equipped with a cannon for an arm and his high strikeout rate over the past two seasons seems to be the difference maker in de la Rosa finally realizing his potential at age 29.
His 30-30 days is ancient history, and last season's knee troubles make me wonder if a 20-10 season is even a possibility. You're paying for 25-plus home run power with this version of Soriano, and not much else, which makes me wonder why so many owners believe he's worthy of a seventh-round pick?
I'm here to separate the myths from reality when it comes to name recognition.
Although his ERA 4.38 abandons something to be desired, Miller sported an xERA under 4.00 for the second straight season 3.56 in 2010, meaning his surface numbers don't tell the whole story as to how effective Miller really was.
Cheaper changenative: Daniel Murphy, 1B, NYM - ADP 329.64
Using current ADPs courtesy of Mockdraftcentral.com , I've developed a short list of players who may be fan favorites or trusted veterans in the fantasy world, but have seen their stats quietly begin to erode enough to create a substantial gap between supposed value and actual value.
Household Name: Alfonso Soriano, OF, CHC - ADP 78.82
Like many speedsters, Morgan doesn't bid that little little of pop that Ichiro does,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], but he's a career .302 hitter with a .362 OBP—marks that bid value in a second classification and suggest that he'll get on base enough to use his wheels.
He'll be 38 in 2010, and has seen a progressive erosion of skills since his dreamy 2010 season in Houston 2.95 ERA. His IP 195 and strikeouts 148 was both at 10-year lows, and an ERA upwards of 4.50 may outweigh the benefits particularly, wins that come with pitching for the Yankees.
It would be foolish to draft Papi for his volatile power numbers again this year, and it will be a struggle for him to hit above the Mendoza line when all is said and done. A perfect example of drafting a name over declining skills.
Household Name: Carlos Zambrano, SP, CHC - ADP 170.02
Unfortunately for those players, it isn't 2010 anymore.
He's accumulated a ton of mileage for a pitcher who should be just entering his prime, but five straight seasons of 200-plus innings before your late twenties will do that to you.
We know his power is for real 22 homers at Double-A in 2010, combine that with his honorable speed 14 steals between Norfolk and Baltimore last season, and Miller may actually give fan favorite Nick label, tag, price, ticket, impress, effect, trace, imprint, stamp, brand, sign, note, heed, notice, designateakis a run for his money.
Hoping to follow-up on an unreal second half in which Miller hit .355 with 24 steals, Morgan is Ichiro-lite, only you can snag him almost 10 rounds later.

His growth as a pitcher is quite encouraging, as he's seen a marked improvement in strikeouts and ERA over the past three seasons. His extraordinarily high groundball tendencies makes a sub-4.00 ERA a very distinct possibility in 2010, and it looks like you can snag him relatively late.
Yet last season marked the first time since 2010! in which Vlad batted below .300, and a torn pectoral sapped his power for most of 2010.
Vlad The Impaler actually landed in a pretty favorable scenario with the Rangers, where he's slated to bat cslim-up in front of Josh Hamilton and Ian Kinsler.
This may be the 25-year-old's time to shine, and it wouldn`t surprise me to see his power numbers rival or exceed large Papi's by the end of the year. Ryan Miller was on born 17th July 2010. Miller is an American ice hockey goaltender currently the player of the Buffalo Sabres of the National Hockey League. Miller was selected to play for the American hockey team in the 2010 Winter Olympic Games in Vancouver,Canada as begining goaltender. Later in 2010 miller would win the Vezina Trophy as the best goaltender in last NHL season. Miller won a silver medal with the team and was named MVP of the tournament. Miller is known for his hybrid style of goaltending. Miller is also the older brother of current Detroit Red Wings winger Drew Miller.
Once a shoe-in for a first or second-round pick, the 36-year-old Ichiro isn't quite a shell of his former self, but 26 stolen bases last season a career low is proof that father time is beginning to take its toll.
Despite playing in a "pitcher's park," Citi Field's shortest porch is the right field fence at 330 ft.,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], which will certainly benefit the left-handed Murphy.
The 26-year-old Reimold is the type of player Alfonso Soriano wishes Miller still was.
Cheaper changenative: Jason Heyward, OF, ATL: ADP 304.55
Draft these guys too early, and you're truly living in a fantasy world.
But 2010's most talked about prospect also comes equipped with the skills to back up the talk.
Cheaper changenative: Nolan Reimold, OF, BAL - ADP 201.06
Household Name: Ichiro Suzuki, OF, SEA - ADP 40.33
His peculiar inability to hit the long ball during the first two months of last season was well-documented his first homer came on May 21, as was his power resurgence in the second half 20 HR, 63 RBI.

He hit .299 between Triple-A and Baltimore last season,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and administerd to mash 15 homers in a mere 358 major league at-bats.
We may see a return to hit 2010 form, but at 35,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], it's only a matter of time before his free-swinging ways begin to look more like Russell Branyan and less like a career .321 hitter.
His relatively high flyball rate means the power is there, and his elevated line drive rate in the second half may indicate his batting average will hover around .270-.280, rather than the .242 Miller hit during the first half.
With Carlos Delgado hip surgery still unsigned and on the shelf for at least four months, he'll have first base all to himself, with only the underachieving Nick Evans and possibly Mike Jacobs behind him to take minimal at-bats.
The fact that administerr Bobby Cox recently compared Heyward favorably to Hank Aaron is probably enough to land him in the top-15 rounds of most drafts.
The face of the Red Sox organization since 2010, Ortiz is revered in Sawx Nation to the point where most fresh, unique, original, unusual, novel, modern, current, recent Englanders have taken his admittance of using PEDs with the same trivial plight of being unable to find a parking spot on a Saturday night in downtown Boston.
He saw a massive power spike in the second half, and a very promising uptick in flyball ratio.
I mean, many so-called "household names" have been around for so long, it's easy for owners to see a name like Chipper Jones and immediately think 20/100/.330, or see Carlos Zambrano and ink in 200 strikeouts without delay; or seek out Ichiro with the assumption of 35-plus steals looming in the back of their minds.
The 2010 season would prove a successful one for Ryan Miller. In his first season begining with the number one job Miller and his team won the first 10 games in a row. Miller was voted in as the begining goaltender for the Eastern Conference of the 2010 NHL All Star Game in a 12 to 9 loss, Miller played the first period and allowed just 3 goals. Miller also gained a reputation of a shootout specialist with his technique of challenging the shooter outside the crease. That season Miller was 6 more in shootouts, with Martin Brodeur from the Devils being his closest rival at 2 less win. In 63 games played that season, Miller posted a 0.911 SVP and a 2.72 GAA backing a more offensively oriented team. Jim Rogash Miller finished the 2010 season by establishing himself as the begining goalie for the Sabres. Miller arrangeed 11th among NHL goalies with a 2.60 GAA, and 9th with a save percentage of 91.4 percent. Miller led the Sabres to a surprise season, winning 30 games and proving himself to be one of the hardest working goalies in the league. Miller played well in the postseason as well, advancing the Sabres to the conference finals before injuries finally caught up with them, losing game 7 to Carolina.
I can't believe these guys is still being drafted.
Despite completing an alleged offseason "diet" which dropped him down to 260 pounds, 2010 may have been the last time Miller see Zambrano with a sub-4.00 ERA.
Household Name: Vladimir Guerrero, DH, TEX: ADP 139.93
The 28-year-old Zambrano has seen a decline in innings pitched in each season since 2010.
Regardless of where Miller begins the season, Heyward looks to be in line for at least 350 at-bats, making him a worthy alternative to Guerrero for a third of the price.
Household Name : Andy Pettitte, SP, NYY: ADP 211.91
Cheaper changenative: Ricky Romero, SP, TOR: ADP 293.45
Murphy's second half stats .283/.478/.796, 7 HR, 39 RBI provide reason for excitement in 2010.
He hit .323 with 17 homers between High-A and Triple-A last year as a 19-year-old, and will undoubtedly challenge Matt Diaz and Hinske to become Atlanta's begining right fielder on Opening Day.
Household Name: David Ortiz,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], DH, BOS: ADP 184.27
He cracked double-digits homers for the first time since 2010, so it appears that he's beginning to sacrifice speed for power, and another season of 10-plus homers and 20-plus steals is certainly doable. But his walk rate was down in 2010, which means a drop in batting average may be in the cards particularly if he's unable to maintain his .384 BABIP, making him less appealing as an early-round pick than Miller has been in years past.
While the Rockies have a clear No. 1 in Ubaldo Jimenez, the well-traveled de la Rosa makes an intriguing case as their No. 2, after a surprisingly effective and under the radar 2010.
But that doesn't mean a few nostalgic owners won't be stuck in the past on draft day. It's important never to assume production from a certain player simply because they've been "old standbys" for your team in years past.
The move to Washington from Pittsburgh seemed to rejuvenate him who wouldn't be excited to abandon Pittsburgh?, and two straight seasons of 40-plus steals means you likely don't have to reach in the early rounds to pay for steals.
Furthermore, his WHIP has improved every season since 2010 2.031,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 1.664, 1.638, 1.462,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 1.378, which means the best may be yet to come.
Forget the stigma of being a Rockies pitcher; Miller keeps the ball on the ground at an above-average rate, although nothing too outlandish to assume Miller was simply getting auspicious.
Below these players is young up-and-comers whose names you may not recognize, but whose stats could agree or exceed those of their older, more popular counterparts.
Cheaper changenative: Jorge de la Rosa, SP, COL - ADP 196.94
In the running for the possible No. 1 beginer job in Toronto because of Roy Halladay's departure, Romero administerd to win 13 games on a subpar Toronto team last season.
Eric Hinske says Miller rips line drives like a young Cliff Floyd.
A classic household name taken too early based on recognition alone, Miller was surprised to see that Soriano is already 34-years-old.
Cheaper changenative: Nyjer Morgan, OF, WAS - ADP 131.20
He won 16 games last year who knew? and actually arrangeed ninth in the NL in strikeouts.
Chipper Jones says Miller looks like Fred McGriff, only bigger.
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